Byungdeok Nam, Senior Vice President of Samsung’s R&D team has been interviewed at Dpreview. I really like what Samsung is doing on the technological front but I have to say their market prediction regarding mirrorless were always wrong in the past. So I wouldn’t trust the latest statement they made in their new interview:
I wouldn’t like to say, but since 2008 when mirrorless systems were announced, mirrorless didn’t grow very rapidly. In the last year, however, market reports are predicting that in 2018/19 mirrorless cameras will outsell DSLRs.
It’s certainly more interesting to read about the NX1 development story. To design and make the NX1 sensor they worked for three years. And the NX1 development goal was:
Full-frame, high-end DSLRs. The ones around the $5000 level. That’s our benchmark.
They certainly did an extremely good job with the NX1!
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I can easily see that happening.
Well, what else are they going to say. And mirrorless had an ok year in 2014, but it looks better than it was in terms of units because DSLR sales slipped. There is ceratainly the unternet meme that mirrorless is somehow inevitable, but until sales really back that up, it’s just talk.
It is understandable that mirrorless is talked about. But that’s true of anythIng new. We are seeing innovation… all of the current 4K cameras under $12K are mirrorless… and in part because every still camera vendor would love to have a chunk of Canon’s video tie-in market. New features are tricks show up in mirrorless because all the players are hungry — Canon and Nikon stll represent the lion’s share of the ILSC market.
Now, when we see at least one of them release a serious mirrorless model, that’s when it’s time to start worring about mirrorless domination, and who’s going to last in the market.